Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Stocks struggle to rise

Stocks seesawed early Wednesday afternoon as investors weighed the morning's mixed economic news with worries that the market rally has outpaced any recovery.

In a choppy session, the Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) and the S&P 500 (SPX) index were both little changed nearly 3 hours into the session. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) inched higher.

Stocks slumped on Tuesday, with the three major gauges all losing around 2% as investors bet the six-month run has gotten ahead of the economic rebound.

Since bottoming March 9 at a 12-year low, the S&P 500 has basically been on the rise, adding 52% through Monday. Stocks saw a minor retreat in late June and early July, with the S&P 500 losing about 7% heading into the start of the second-quarter financial reporting period. But other than that small sell off, the direction has mostly been up.

Reports on Tuesday showed housing and manufacturing are recovering, but investors remain worried about the labor market and how rising joblessness will impact consumer spending. Consumer spending fuels two-thirds of economic growth, and economists say any recovery will be mild without the consumer's participation.

Jobs: Two reports on the labor market were released Wednesday morning, leading up to Friday's bigger non-farm payrolls report.

Payroll services firm ADP said employers in the private sector cut 298,000 jobs from their payrolls last month after cutting a revised 360,000 in July. Economists were expecting 250,000 job cuts according to a Briefing.com survey.

Separately, outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported 76,456 job cut announcements in August, 21% fewer than in July.

Although both reports indicate the pace of job cuts has slowed, the economy is still far from creating jobs.

"The reports show that the labor market is progressing toward the recovery phase ahead of schedule," said Gregory Miller, chief economists at SunTrust Banks.

He said that most economists were forecasting no improvement until the end of this year or early next year.

He said that if the pace of the recovery in the jobs market continues - and business spending picks up - the recovery could be be stronger than current forecasts. But without those two factors, growth will remain sluggish.

Other economic news: A Labor Department report showed that non-farm productivity rose at a 6.6% annual rate during the second quarter versus the initially reported 6.4% pace. That was in line with forecasts.

Factory orders rose 1.3% in July, the Commerce Department reported. Orders rose a revised 0.9% in June. Economists thought orders would rise 2.2% in July.

The minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting are due at around 2 p.m. ET.

Company news: Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) is set to repay the $25 billion in bailout funds it took from the U.S. government. The bank expects to pay it back from internal funds, rather than through issuing new shares.

Financial stocks as a sector retreated for the second session in a row, although the declines were fairly modest. The KBW Bank index lost 1.7%.

Pfizer (PFE, Fortune 500) will plead guilty to a criminal charge related to how it promoted now-defunct pain killer Bextra. The Dow component will pay $2.3 billion to settle charges it wrongly marketed 13 medicines. In January, Pfizer said it took the charge but didn't specify why.

Fellow Dow component Coca-Cola (KO, Fortune 500) inched higher, while Merck (MRK, Fortune 500), Walt Disney (DIS, Fortune 500) and Home Depot (HD, Fortune 500) declined.

Diversified manufacturer Danaher (DHR, Fortune 500) said it is cutting more jobs as part of its restructuring plan -- and is buying two businesses that make scientific instruments for about $1.1 billion.

The company is buying the life sciences instrument business of Canadian MDS for $650 million in cash. That purchase includes a 50% stake in AB SCIEX, which makes instruments used by researchers. Danaher will also buy the rest of AB SCIEX for $450 million. Danaher shares gained 2%, while MCS (MDZ) shares gained 22%.

Oil: U.S. light crude oil for October delivery fell 33 cents to $67.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after a mixed weekly inventory report from the Energy Information Administration. Oil prices have been slipping since hitting a ten-month high just below $75 a barrel late last month.

In other energy sector news, BP (BP) said Wednesday that it has made a "giant" oil discovery in the Gulf of Mexico. Although the company doesn't yet know the volume of oil present, it is thought to be in excess of 3 billion barrels.

World markets: The global market sell off continued, with Asian shares slumping. The Japanese Nikkei lost 2.4%. In Europe, markets tumbled as well.
0:00 /3:02Bailout falls short for homeowners

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.33% from 3.36% late Tuesday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Other markets: COMEX gold for December delivery rose $17.90 to $974.40 an ounce.

In currency trading, the dollar fell versus the euro and the Japanese yen.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners three to two on volume of 620 million shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners narrowly edged advancers on volume of 960 million shares.

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